Tennis · M15 Naples · 11/11, 14:00

Prediction: Max Sheldon vs Ryan Colby

Team pages: Max Sheldon · Ryan Colby

Prediction summary
Winner
53% 47%
Max Sheldon Ryan Colby
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Max Sheldon 5-5 (W-L)
WWLWLLWLWL
Ryan Colby 3-7 (W-L)
WWLLLLLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Max Sheldon 1512 · Ryan Colby 1470
Max SheldonRyan Colby
Our model56%44%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Max Sheldon (rating 1512 vs 1470).
  • Note: Ryan Colby makes many double faults (4.7/match).

Statistics

Max SheldonRyan Colby
Win %50%40%
Sets (G-P)1.3-10.9-1.5
Games (G-P)11.1-10.510.4-11.9
Aces2.21.8
Double faults2.14.7
1st serve %65%57.7%
Break %51.9%48.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Max Sheldon

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/11 Dragos Nicolae Cazacu
M15 Hilton Head Island
0-2 11-14 L
06/11 Felix Corwin
M15 Hilton Head Island
2-0 12-6 W
05/11 Raul Garcia
M15 Hilton Head Island
1-1 11-13 L
04/11 Tristan McCormick
M15 Hilton Head Island
2-0 12-5 W
03/11 Tyler Lee
M15 Hilton Head Island
2-1 10-7 W
01/10 Olaf Pieczkowski
M15 Ann Arbor
1-2 12-17 L
29/09 Jeffrey Fradkin
M15 Ann Arbor
2-0 13-9 W
23/09 Cosme Rolland De Ravel
M15 Columbia
0-2 6-12 L
22/09 Teodor Davidov
M15 Columbia
2-0 12-7 W
23/08 Colson Wells
UTR Pro East Lansing · Hard
1-2 12-15 L

Ryan Colby

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/11 Gavin Goode
M15 Hilton Head Island
0-2 7-13 L
05/11 Santiago Giamichelle
M15 Hilton Head Island
2-1 16-9 W
04/11 Jack Secord
M15 Hilton Head Island
2-1 14-9 W
28/10 Lucca Liu
M15 Mazatlan
0-2 3-11 L
27/09 Shunsuke Mitsui
Challenger Columbus · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
16/09 Vasco Leote Prata
M25 Sintra
0-2 9-13 L
10/09 Finn Murgett
M25 Sintra
0-2 7-13 L
09/09 Joao Mendes
M25 Sintra
2-1 15-11 W
27/08 Jakub Vrba
M15 Champaign
1-2 17-18 L
25/08 Nikola Djosic
M15 Champaign
2-0 14-10 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Max Sheldon vs Ryan Colby?

Our model gives 53% to Max Sheldon, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.