Tennis · M15 Naples · 11/11, 14:00
Prediction: Joao Goncalves vs Evan Bynoe
Team pages: Joao Goncalves · Evan Bynoe
Prediction summary
Winner
Joao Goncalves
Evan Bynoe
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Joao Goncalves
6-4 (W-L)
Evan Bynoe
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Joao Goncalves
0–1
Evan Bynoe
(1 last)
- 16 May1-2 13-17L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joao Goncalves 1505 · Evan Bynoe 1451
| Joao Goncalves | Evan Bynoe | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joao Goncalves (rating 1505 vs 1451).
- Head-to-head: Joao Goncalves 0–1 Evan Bynoe (1).
- Note: Joao Goncalves makes many double faults (4.1/match).
- Note: Evan Bynoe makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Joao Goncalves | Evan Bynoe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-9.6 | 10-11.7 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 71.6% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 53.4% | 39.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Joao Goncalves 0 – 1 Evan Bynoe (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Joao Goncalves 0–1 Evan Bynoe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/25 M15 Orlando | 1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joao Goncalves
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M15 Salvador |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/11 | Victor Bini M15 Salvador |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/11 | Thomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli M15 Salvador |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 03/11 | Lorenzo Sverzut Corsini M15 Salvador |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/10 | Rafael Tosetto M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 14/10 | Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/09 | Pedro Sakamoto Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Pedro Sakamoto M15 Curitiba |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Eric Von Marton Martins M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/09 | Nicolas Zanellato M15 Belem |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Evan Bynoe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Antoine Genereux M15 Trois-Rivieres |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/10 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M25 Norman |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Aryan Shah M15 Fayetteville |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/09 | Segundo Goity Zapico M15 Fayetteville |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/09 | William Jansen M15 Columbia |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Luis Felipe Miguel M15 Columbia |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 23/09 | Alvin Nicholas Tudorica M15 Columbia |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Timo Legout Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Joshua Peck M25 East Lansing |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Jack Anthrop M25 Edwardsville |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joao Goncalves vs Evan Bynoe?
Our model gives 59% to Joao Goncalves, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.