Tennis · UTR Pro Malibu · 10/11, 23:30
Prediction: Adam Chodur vs Gianluca Brunkow
Team pages: Adam Chodur · Gianluca Brunkow
Prediction summary
Winner
Adam Chodur
Gianluca Brunkow
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Adam Chodur
4-6 (W-L)
Gianluca Brunkow
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Adam Chodur
0–1
Gianluca Brunkow
(1 last)
- 02 Aug1-2 11-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adam Chodur 1511 · Gianluca Brunkow 1594
| Adam Chodur | Gianluca Brunkow | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 10% | 90% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gianluca Brunkow (rating 1511 vs 1594).
- Gianluca Brunkow is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Adam Chodur 0–1 Gianluca Brunkow (1).
Statistics
| Adam Chodur | Gianluca Brunkow | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.6-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10.1 | 11.4-7.7 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 3 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 65.8% | 67.2% |
| Break % | 47.9% | 50.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
H2H · Adam Chodur 0 – 1 Gianluca Brunkow (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Adam Chodur 0–1 Gianluca Brunkow
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/22 UTR Pro Tennis Series California | 1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adam Chodur
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | George Hakopian UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/11 | Henry Dornbusch UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 04/11 | Rahul Sachdev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 04/11 | Siddharth Bharadwaj UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/11 | Lawee Sherif UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 25/10 | Karl Kazuma Lee UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 21/10 | Carter Craig UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 20/10 | Lachlan Brain UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/10 | Liam Spiers UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/10 | Jason Huang UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Gianluca Brunkow
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Elijah Cham UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/10 | Jacob Brumm UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/10 | George Hakopian UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Marco Alvarez UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/09 | Diego Herrera UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/03 | Blaise Bicknell M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 21/03 | Michael Antonius M25 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/03 | Daniil Kakhniuk M25 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/03 | Daniel Milavsky M25 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/03 | Maxwell Exsted M25 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adam Chodur vs Gianluca Brunkow?
Our model gives 77% to Gianluca Brunkow, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.