Tennis · UTR Pro Malibu · 11/11, 23:30
Prediction: Gianluca Brunkow vs Cassius Chinlund
Team pages: Gianluca Brunkow · Cassius Chinlund
Prediction summary
Winner
Gianluca Brunkow
Cassius Chinlund
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Gianluca Brunkow
8-2 (W-L)
Cassius Chinlund
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gianluca Brunkow 1596 · Cassius Chinlund 1553
| Gianluca Brunkow | Cassius Chinlund | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gianluca Brunkow (rating 1596 vs 1553).
Statistics
| Gianluca Brunkow | Cassius Chinlund | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.4 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-7.3 | 12-7.6 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 64.6% | 76.1% |
| Break % | 46.2% | 45.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gianluca Brunkow
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | Adam Chodur UTR Pro Malibu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/10 | Elijah Cham UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/10 | Jacob Brumm UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/10 | George Hakopian UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Marco Alvarez UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/09 | Diego Herrera UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/03 | Blaise Bicknell M25 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 21/03 | Michael Antonius M25 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/03 | Daniil Kakhniuk M25 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/03 | Daniel Milavsky M25 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Cassius Chinlund
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11 | Hugh Winter UTR Pro Malibu · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/09 | Jacob Brumm UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 29/08 | Charlie Underwood UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 29/08 | Antreas Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/08 | Mario Garcia UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/08 | Kaveh Brian Taheri UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/08 | Lukas Phimvongsa UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/07 | Jose Garcia UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 17/07 | Aditya Govila UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Adrien Jonah Abarca UTR Pro Knoxville · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gianluca Brunkow vs Cassius Chinlund?
Our model gives 65% to Gianluca Brunkow, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.