Tennis · Challenger Bratislava MD · 07/11, 12:00
Prediction: Rojer/Winegar vs Karol/Paulson
Team pages: Rojer/Winegar · Karol/Paulson
Prediction summary
Winner
Rojer/Winegar
Karol/Paulson
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Rojer/Winegar
7-3 (W-L)
Karol/Paulson
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rojer/Winegar 1546 · Karol/Paulson 1614
| Rojer/Winegar | Karol/Paulson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Karol/Paulson (rating 1546 vs 1614).
- Karol/Paulson is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Rojer/Winegar | Karol/Paulson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 100% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-11.9 | 13.9-10.4 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 79.3% | 78.2% |
| Break % | 41.3% | 56.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rojer/Winegar
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Liutarevich/Pieczonka Challenger Bratislava MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/11 | Gille/Verbeek Challenger Bratislava MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/11 | Escobar/Kaliyanda Poonacha Challenger Bratislava MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/10 | Balaji/King ATP Almaty MD · Hard |
1-2 | 17-21 | L |
| 20/10 | Diaz Acosta/Tirante ATP Almaty MD · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 16/10 | Loof/Uesugi Challenger Jinan MD · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Puttergill/Sweeny Challenger Jinan MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/10 | Pavlovic/Valsecchi Challenger Jinan MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/10 | Arribage/Olivetti ATP Tokyo MD · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 30/09 | Stevenson/Willis ATP Tokyo MD · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
Karol/Paulson
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Vocel/Vrbensky Challenger Bratislava MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/11 | Balaji/King Challenger Bratislava MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/11 | Gonzalez/Jebens Challenger Bratislava MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/10 | Pereira/Winter Lopez Challenger Maia MD · Clay |
2-1 | 21-16 | W |
| 16/10 | Jecan/Kielan Challenger Maia MD · Clay |
2-1 | 22-17 | W |
| 15/10 | Drzewiecki/Matuszewski Challenger Maia MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/10 | Cervantes/Molchanov Challenger Maia MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/10 | Drzewiecki/Kalender Challenger Braga MD · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Pavel/Winter Lopez Challenger Plovdiv MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/09 | Cornea/Neuchrist Challenger Plovdiv MD · Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rojer/Winegar vs Karol/Paulson?
Our model gives 54% to Karol/Paulson, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.