Tennis · Challenger Bratislava MD · 05/11, 12:00
Prediction: Karol/Paulson vs Balaji/King
Team pages: Karol/Paulson · Balaji/King
Prediction summary
Winner
Karol/Paulson
Balaji/King
Estimated games
26
Recent form · 10 last
Karol/Paulson
8-2 (W-L)
Balaji/King
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Karol/Paulson 1621 · Balaji/King 1559
| Karol/Paulson | Balaji/King | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Karol/Paulson (rating 1621 vs 1559).
Statistics
| Karol/Paulson | Balaji/King | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (2) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.6 | 1.6-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.5-11.1 | 16.6-15.8 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 5.2 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 75.8% | 79.2% |
| Break % | 49.6% | 42.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Karol/Paulson
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Gonzalez/Jebens Challenger Bratislava MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/11 | Gonzalez/Jebens Challenger Bratislava MD · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/10 | Pereira/Winter Lopez Challenger Maia MD · Clay |
2-1 | 21-16 | W |
| 16/10 | Jecan/Kielan Challenger Maia MD · Clay |
2-1 | 22-17 | W |
| 15/10 | Drzewiecki/Matuszewski Challenger Maia MD · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/10 | Cervantes/Molchanov Challenger Maia MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/10 | Drzewiecki/Kalender Challenger Braga MD · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Pavel/Winter Lopez Challenger Plovdiv MD · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/09 | Cornea/Neuchrist Challenger Plovdiv MD · Clay |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 24/09 | Roca Batalla/Sanchez Jover Challenger Plovdiv MD · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
Balaji/King
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Grevelius/Heinonen Challenger Bratislava MD · Hard |
2-1 | 24-22 | W |
| 04/11 | Grevelius/Heinonen Challenger Bratislava MD · Hard |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 31/10 | Escobar/Kaliyanda Poonacha Challenger Brest MD · Hard |
1-2 | 20-23 | L |
| 30/10 | Kittay/Yuzuki Challenger Brest MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/10 | Poritskyy/Ursu Challenger Brest MD · Hard |
2-1 | 22-15 | W |
| 24/10 | Miedler/Oberleitner ATP Almaty MD · Hard |
1-2 | 15-21 | L |
| 22/10 | Rojer/Winegar ATP Almaty MD · Hard |
2-1 | 21-17 | W |
| 21/10 | Chandrasekar/Ho ATP Almaty MD · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/09 | Nys/Roger-Vasselin US Open MD · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Arends/Pel US Open MD · Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Karol/Paulson vs Balaji/King?
Our model gives 54% to Karol/Paulson, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.