Tennis · M15 Pembroke · 06/11, 15:00
Prediction: Blaise Bicknell vs Alexander Bernard
Team pages: Blaise Bicknell · Alexander Bernard
Prediction summary
Winner
Blaise Bicknell
Alexander Bernard
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Blaise Bicknell
6-4 (W-L)
Alexander Bernard
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Blaise Bicknell
1–0
Alexander Bernard
(1 last)
- 17 May2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Blaise Bicknell 1438 · Alexander Bernard 1551
| Blaise Bicknell | Alexander Bernard | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Bernard (rating 1438 vs 1551).
- Alexander Bernard is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Blaise Bicknell 1–0 Alexander Bernard (1).
- Note: Blaise Bicknell makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Blaise Bicknell | Alexander Bernard | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (6) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-12.1 | 11.5-8.2 |
| Aces | 5.1 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.7% | 63.9% |
| Break % | 35.8% | 55.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
H2H · Blaise Bicknell 1 – 0 Alexander Bernard (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Blaise Bicknell 1–0 Alexander Bernard
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/22 ITF M15 Cancun | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Blaise Bicknell
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Kian Vakili M15 Pembroke |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/11 | Aydan Gomez Osorio M15 Pembroke |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 01/11 | Kacper Szymkowiak M15 Pembroke |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/10 | Gavin Goode M15 Lexington |
0-2 | 2-7 | L |
| 28/09 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Trevor Svajda Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 26/08 | Ivan Marrero Curbelo Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 18/08 | Max Purcell Challenger Kingston · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 29/07 | Benjamin Bonzi Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 16/07 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
Alexander Bernard
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Volodymyr Gurenko M15 Pembroke |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Max Dahlin M15 Ann Arbor |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 30/09 | Gustavo Albieri M15 Ann Arbor |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Matisse Farzam M15 Ann Arbor |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | John Hallquist Lithen M15 Columbia |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Max Stenzer M15 Columbia |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 06/09 | Jakub Kroslak UTR Pro Miami · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/09 | Salvador Price UTR Pro Miami · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/09 | Elie Elie Azoulay UTR Pro Miami · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Mattia Akcan UTR Pro Miami · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Blaise Bicknell vs Alexander Bernard?
Our model gives 60% to Blaise Bicknell, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.