Tennis · M15 Pembroke · 06/11, 15:00

Prediction: Kacper Szymkowiak vs Matt Kuhar

Team pages: Matt Kuhar

Prediction summary
Winner
61% 39%
Kacper Szymkowiak Matt Kuhar
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Kacper Szymkowiak 3-7 (W-L)
LWLLLLLLWW
Matt Kuhar 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWLWLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kacper Szymkowiak 1453 · Matt Kuhar 1497
Kacper SzymkowiakMatt Kuhar
Our model44%56%
Market75%25%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matt Kuhar (rating 1453 vs 1497).
  • Note: Kacper Szymkowiak makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Kacper SzymkowiakMatt Kuhar
Win %30%50%
Win % · Hard 0% (1) 40% (5)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.41.1-1
Games (G-P)9-1010.3-9.7
Aces3.52.8
Double faults43.2
1st serve %71.7%66.8%
Break %42%44.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kacper Szymkowiak

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/11 Carel Aubriel Ngounoue
M15 Pembroke
2-0 12-1 W
03/11 Stephen Slocombe
M15 Pembroke
2-0 12-5 W
01/11 Blaise Bicknell
M15 Pembroke
0-2 4-12 L
11/08 Melios Efstathiou
M15 Turku
0-2 5-12 L
02/08 Ergi Kirkin
Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
16/07 Marcel Zielinski
Polish National Championships
0-2 7-13 L
05/07 Robert Strombachs
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
02/07 Alexander Weis
M25 Skopje · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
01/07 Stefan Micov
M25 Skopje · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
27/06 Alan Wazny
M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay
1-2 15-16 L

Matt Kuhar

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/11 Drew Van Orderlain
M15 Pembroke
1-0 6-2 W
04/11 Juan Sebastian Dominguez Collado
M15 Pembroke
2-0 12-2 W
20/10 Mikael Arseneault
M15 Ithaca
0-2 6-12 L
01/10 Naoto Tomizawa
M15 Ann Arbor
0-2 4-12 L
29/09 Zsombor Velcz
M15 Ann Arbor
2-0 13-6 W
24/08 Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Challenger Kingston · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
23/08 Siddhant Banthia
Challenger Kingston · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
16/08 Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
Challenger Kingston · Hard
1-2 15-19 L
31/07 Matthew Thomson
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
1-2 15-16 L
30/07 Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kacper Szymkowiak vs Matt Kuhar?

Our model gives 61% to Kacper Szymkowiak, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.