Tennis · M15 Hilton Head Island · 06/11, 16:00
Prediction: Ryan Colby vs Gavin Goode
Team pages: Ryan Colby · Gavin Goode
Prediction summary
Winner
Ryan Colby
Gavin Goode
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Ryan Colby
3-7 (W-L)
Gavin Goode
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ryan Colby 1474 · Gavin Goode 1520
| Ryan Colby | Gavin Goode | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gavin Goode (rating 1474 vs 1520).
- Note: Ryan Colby makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Ryan Colby | Gavin Goode | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-12.5 | 11-8.9 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 5.6 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 58.6% | 62.7% |
| Break % | 50.8% | 45.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ryan Colby
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Santiago Giamichelle M15 Hilton Head Island |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 04/11 | Jack Secord M15 Hilton Head Island |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 28/10 | Lucca Liu M15 Mazatlan |
0-2 | 3-11 | L |
| 27/09 | Shunsuke Mitsui Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Vasco Leote Prata M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Finn Murgett M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Joao Mendes M25 Sintra |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 27/08 | Jakub Vrba M15 Champaign |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 25/08 | Nikola Djosic M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 03/08 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
Gavin Goode
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Johan Alexander Rodriguez M15 Hilton Head Island |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 04/11 | Lachlan Mcfadzean M15 Hilton Head Island |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 15/10 | Pepijn Bastiaansen M15 Lexington |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Blaise Bicknell M15 Lexington |
2-0 | 7-2 | W |
| 24/09 | Gabe Avram M15 Columbia |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 24/09 | Micah Braswell M15 Columbia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/05 | Liam Krall M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Hunter Heck M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 06/05 | Aidan Mchugh M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/04 | Andrew Johnson M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ryan Colby vs Gavin Goode?
Our model gives 53% to Gavin Goode, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.