Tennis · M15 Hilton Head Island · 05/11, 16:00
Prediction: Ryan Colby vs Santiago Giamichelle
Team pages: Ryan Colby · Santiago Giamichelle
Prediction summary
Winner
Ryan Colby
Santiago Giamichelle
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Ryan Colby
3-7 (W-L)
Santiago Giamichelle
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ryan Colby 1474 · Santiago Giamichelle 1531
| Ryan Colby | Santiago Giamichelle | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Santiago Giamichelle (rating 1474 vs 1531).
- Note: Ryan Colby makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Ryan Colby | Santiago Giamichelle | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-12.8 | 10.2-8.7 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 5.9 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 59% | 62.3% |
| Break % | 54.3% | 52.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ryan Colby
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Jack Secord M15 Hilton Head Island |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 28/10 | Lucca Liu M15 Mazatlan |
0-2 | 3-11 | L |
| 27/09 | Shunsuke Mitsui Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Vasco Leote Prata M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/09 | Finn Murgett M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Joao Mendes M25 Sintra |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 27/08 | Jakub Vrba M15 Champaign |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 25/08 | Nikola Djosic M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 03/08 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 02/08 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Santiago Giamichelle
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Novak Novakovic M15 Hilton Head Island |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 02/09 | Jackson Ross M15 Trelew |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/08 | Carlos Maria Zarate M15 Mar Del Plata |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Agustin Fernandez Badia M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/08 | Maxwell Exsted M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Agustin Fernandez Badia M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/08 | Santiago Pesino M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-8 | L |
| 16/07 | Carlos Maria Zarate M15 Villa Constitucion |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Ezequiel Monferrer M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 8-6 | W |
| 13/07 | Thomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ryan Colby vs Santiago Giamichelle?
Our model gives 51% to Ryan Colby, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.