Tennis · W50 Heraklion · 05/11, 09:00
Prediction: Matilde Paoletti vs Martha Matoula
Team pages: Matilde Paoletti · Martha Matoula
Prediction summary
Winner
Matilde Paoletti
Martha Matoula
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Matilde Paoletti
7-3 (W-L)
Martha Matoula
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matilde Paoletti 1541 · Martha Matoula 1533
| Matilde Paoletti | Martha Matoula | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Martha Matoula makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Matilde Paoletti | Martha Matoula | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (2) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-8.7 | 12.3-11.4 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 57.3% | 57.7% |
| Break % | 50.7% | 52.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matilde Paoletti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Ariana Geerlings W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/11 | Styliani Roussopoulou W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/10 | Alessandra Mazzola W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 21/10 | Ginevra Montebruno W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/10 | Jessica Pieri W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 15/10 | Chiara Fornasieri W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 09/10 | Alessandra Mazzola W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 08/10 | Eva Bennemann W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/10 | Francesca Gandolfi W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/09 | Alisa Oktiabreva W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Martha Matoula
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Marianne Argyrokastriti W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/10 | Nina Radovanovic W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Maria Garcia Cid W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/10 | Franziska Sziedat W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 14/10 | Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales WTA Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 13/10 | Giorgia Pedone WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/10 | Alice Tubello W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 07/10 | Tilwith Di Girolami W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 22/09 | Nahia Berecoechea W50 Yecla |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matilde Paoletti vs Martha Matoula?
Our model gives 55% to Matilde Paoletti, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.