Tennis · M15 Hilton Head Island · 04/11, 16:30
Prediction: Jerrid Gaines Jr vs Raul Garcia
Team pages: Jerrid Gaines Jr · Raul Garcia
Prediction summary
Winner
Jerrid Gaines Jr
Raul Garcia
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Jerrid Gaines Jr
3-7 (W-L)
Raul Garcia
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jerrid Gaines Jr 1479 · Raul Garcia 1498
| Jerrid Gaines Jr | Raul Garcia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Jerrid Gaines Jr makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Jerrid Gaines Jr | Raul Garcia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-10.7 | 9.3-9.2 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 66.1% | 67.2% |
| Break % | 45.8% | 37.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jerrid Gaines Jr
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Tristan McCormick M15 Rochester |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Axel Nefve M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/07 | Drew Fishback M15 Rochester |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 15/07 | Andrew Delgado M15 Rochester |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 14/04 | Yannik Alvarez M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/04 | Jack Kennedy M15 Boca Raton |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 08/04 | Alexander Kotzen M15 Boca Raton |
1-1 | 8-9 | L |
| 18/02 | Pierre Delage M15 Naples · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 17/02 | Freddie Ridout M15 Naples · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/02 | Mwendwa Mbithi M15 Sunrise |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Raul Garcia
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Ryan Haviland M15 Hilton Head Island |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/10 | Pablo Martinez Gomez M15 Lexington |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/10 | Tom Sickenberger M15 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/10 | Simon Myslivec UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Alexandre Bergeron UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 06/10 | Mark Havlicek UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/10 | James Newton UTR Pro Boca Raton · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/02 | Ryan Colby M15 Sunrise |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/01 | Luka Butera UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/01 | Cooper Johnson UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jerrid Gaines Jr vs Raul Garcia?
Our model gives 53% to Raul Garcia, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.