Tennis · M15 Hilton Head Island · 04/11, 15:00

Prediction: Santiago Giamichelle vs Novak Novakovic

Team pages: Santiago Giamichelle · Novak Novakovic

Prediction summary
Winner
50% 50%
Santiago Giamichelle Novak Novakovic
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Santiago Giamichelle 6-4 (W-L)
LWWLWWLWLW
Novak Novakovic 4-6 (W-L)
LWWWLLLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Santiago Giamichelle 1507 · Novak Novakovic 1518
Santiago GiamichelleNovak Novakovic
Our model48%52%
Market51%49%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Santiago GiamichelleNovak Novakovic
Win %50%60%
Win % · Clay 33% (3) 57% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.1-11.3-1.1
Games (G-P)9-8.610.5-11.3
Aces1.62.9
Double faults2.42.7
1st serve %61.2%61.6%
Break %48.8%35.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Santiago Giamichelle

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/09 Jackson Ross
M15 Trelew
2-0 12-5 W
27/08 Carlos Maria Zarate
M15 Mar Del Plata
0-2 8-13 L
26/08 Agustin Fernandez Badia
M15 Mar Del Plata
2-0 13-9 W
18/08 Maxwell Exsted
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
17/08 Agustin Fernandez Badia
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
10/08 Santiago Pesino
M15 Asuncion · ~Clay
1-2 9-8 L
16/07 Carlos Maria Zarate
M15 Villa Constitucion
0-2 9-13 L
14/07 Ezequiel Monferrer
M15 Villa Constitucion
2-0 8-6 W
13/07 Thomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli
M15 Villa Constitucion
2-0 12-5 W
07/07 Thiago Cigarran
M15 San Salvador de Jujuy
0-2 4-12 L

Novak Novakovic

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/09 Oliver Bonding
M15 Columbia
0-2 1-12 L
23/09 Matthew Thomson
M15 Columbia
2-1 15-15 W
22/09 Jonah Braswell
M15 Columbia
2-0 12-6 W
05/08 Ruslan Tiukaev
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
04/08 Liam Delicata
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 14-12 W
26/06 Branko Djuric
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 11-16 L
25/06 Vlado Jankanj
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-1 16-18 W
24/06 Oscar Brown
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
16/06 Jan Klimas
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
26/05 Denis Klok
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 5-11 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Santiago Giamichelle vs Novak Novakovic?

Our model gives 50% to Santiago Giamichelle, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.