Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 05/11, 03:30
Prediction: Roman Sancilio vs Karl Kazuma Lee
Team pages: Roman Sancilio · Karl Kazuma Lee
Prediction summary
Winner
Roman Sancilio
Karl Kazuma Lee
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Roman Sancilio
6-4 (W-L)
Karl Kazuma Lee
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Roman Sancilio 1492 · Karl Kazuma Lee 1591
| Roman Sancilio | Karl Kazuma Lee | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Karl Kazuma Lee (rating 1492 vs 1591).
- Karl Kazuma Lee is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Roman Sancilio makes many double faults (7.4/match).
Statistics
| Roman Sancilio | Karl Kazuma Lee | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-11.9 | 12.3-10.5 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 5 |
| Double faults | 7.4 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64.6% | 65.8% |
| Break % | 45.1% | 49.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Roman Sancilio
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Alessandro-D Ventre UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 03/11 | Mattias Southcombe UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 01/08 | Chad Miller UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 31/07 | Henry Lessard UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Lathan Skrobarcek UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Arnav Bhandari UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/07 | Alex Fuchs UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Theo Herrmann M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Dev Javia M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Cagan Efe Tufekci M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
Karl Kazuma Lee
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Max Freedman UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/10 | Adam Chodur UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 24/10 | Theodore Dean UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 23/10 | Corey Craig UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/10 | Kosuke Nakanishi UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 20/10 | Pol Masafret Hernandez UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/10 | Siddharth Bharadwaj UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/10 | Zach Stephens UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Theodore Dean UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Nile Ung UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Roman Sancilio vs Karl Kazuma Lee?
Our model gives 72% to Karl Kazuma Lee, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.