Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 08/11, 01:00
Prediction: Alexander Edmonston vs Mattias Southcombe
Team pages: Mattias Southcombe
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Edmonston
Mattias Southcombe
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Edmonston
2-8 (W-L)
Mattias Southcombe
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Edmonston 1400 · Mattias Southcombe 1422
| Alexander Edmonston | Mattias Southcombe | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Mattias Southcombe makes many double faults (6.9/match).
Statistics
| Alexander Edmonston | Mattias Southcombe | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (10) | 13% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.7 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-12 | 10.4-11.6 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 6.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.8% | 67.4% |
| Break % | 39.5% | 42.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Edmonston
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | George Hakopian UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/11 | William McEwan UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/11 | Adam Jones UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/04 | Noah Zamora UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Tomas Quesada Perez UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/04 | Sean Grosman UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/04 | Miles Clark UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/04 | Kale Mize UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/04 | Luka Vuglar UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 20/04 | Elijah Strode UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
Mattias Southcombe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Karl Kazuma Lee UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 05/11 | Alessandro-D Ventre UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 03/11 | Max Freedman UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 03/11 | Roman Sancilio UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 09/09 | Jaesung Choe M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Chen-Yu Lu M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 25/08 | Suk Ann M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Kyle Overmyer M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-7 | L |
| 27/07 | Daniel Borisov M15 Dublin |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Sean O Nuallain M15 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Edmonston vs Mattias Southcombe?
Our model gives 67% to Mattias Southcombe, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.