Tennis · M15 Pembroke · 04/11, 14:00
Prediction: Volodymyr Gurenko vs Alexander Bernard
Team pages: Volodymyr Gurenko · Alexander Bernard
Prediction summary
Winner
Volodymyr Gurenko
Alexander Bernard
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Volodymyr Gurenko
6-4 (W-L)
Alexander Bernard
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Volodymyr Gurenko 1457 · Alexander Bernard 1559
| Volodymyr Gurenko | Alexander Bernard | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Bernard (rating 1457 vs 1559).
- Alexander Bernard is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Volodymyr Gurenko makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Volodymyr Gurenko | Alexander Bernard | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-12.3 | 11.5-8.1 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 63.9% | 63% |
| Break % | 38.5% | 58.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Volodymyr Gurenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Neo Niedner M15 Fayetteville |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 27/07 | Andres Rendon M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/07 | Matthew Thomson M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 12/07 | Guillaume Dalmasso Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Tristan Stringer M25 Laval |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Kaylan Bigun M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Kyle Overmyer M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 30/04 | Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/04 | Oliver Sanders M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
Alexander Bernard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Max Dahlin M15 Ann Arbor |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 30/09 | Gustavo Albieri M15 Ann Arbor |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Matisse Farzam M15 Ann Arbor |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | John Hallquist Lithen M15 Columbia |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Max Stenzer M15 Columbia |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 06/09 | Jakub Kroslak UTR Pro Miami · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/09 | Salvador Price UTR Pro Miami · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/09 | Elie Elie Azoulay UTR Pro Miami · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Mattia Akcan UTR Pro Miami · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios UTR Pro Miami · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Volodymyr Gurenko vs Alexander Bernard?
Our model gives 75% to Alexander Bernard, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.