Tennis · M15 Salvador · 04/11, 14:00
Prediction: Joao Goncalves vs Lorenzo Sverzut Corsini
Team pages: Joao Goncalves
Prediction summary
Winner
Joao Goncalves
Lorenzo Sverzut Corsini
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Joao Goncalves
5-5 (W-L)
Lorenzo Sverzut Corsini
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joao Goncalves 1497 · Lorenzo Sverzut Corsini 1475
| Joao Goncalves | Lorenzo Sverzut Corsini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Lorenzo Sverzut Corsini makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Joao Goncalves | Lorenzo Sverzut Corsini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 0.8-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-9.3 | 8-9.1 |
| Aces | 5.6 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 5.8 |
| 1st serve % | 74% | 69.2% |
| Break % | 53.3% | 39.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joao Goncalves
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Rafael Tosetto M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 14/10 | Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/09 | Pedro Sakamoto Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Pedro Sakamoto M15 Curitiba |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Eric Von Marton Martins M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/09 | Nicolas Zanellato M15 Belem |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 16/09 | Ignacio Antonio Becerra Otarola M15 Belem |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/09 | Rafael Tosetto M15 Leme |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Ryan Dickerson M15 Leme |
2-1 | 9-8 | W |
| 10/09 | Joao Cunha Cunha M15 Leme |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Lorenzo Sverzut Corsini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Rocco Valente M15 Maceio |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/09 | Nicolas Zanellato M15 Belem |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Lucca Pinto M15 Belem |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/09 | Ryan Dickerson M15 Belem |
1-0 | 7-6 | W |
| 15/09 | Bruno Vieira Alves Malacarne Bruno M15 Belem |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/09 | Pietro Gava M15 Leme |
1-2 | 9-7 | L |
| 31/08 | Eric Von Marton Martins M15 Porto Velho |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/04 | Jose Luis Claro M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/04 | Juan Sebastian Dominguez Collado M15 Quito · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-11 | L |
| 25/11 | Gabriel Batagin ITF M15 Ribeirao Preto |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joao Goncalves vs Lorenzo Sverzut Corsini?
Our model gives 73% to Joao Goncalves, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.