Tennis · M15 Salvador · 04/11, 15:30

Prediction: Joao Goncalves vs Thomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli

Team pages: Joao Goncalves · Thomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli

Prediction summary
Winner
68% 32%
Joao Goncalves Thomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Joao Goncalves 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWWLLWLW
Thomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli 4-6 (W-L)
LLLLWLLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Joao Goncalves 1488 · Thomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli 1480
Joao GoncalvesThomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli
Our model51%49%
Market81%19%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Joao GoncalvesThomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli
Win %50%40%
Win % · Clay 33% (3) 0% (1)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.11-1.5
Games (G-P)10.4-9.59.6-11
Aces5.11.3
Double faults3.82.7
1st serve %72.4%59.9%
Break %52%41.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Joao Goncalves

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/11 Lorenzo Sverzut Corsini
M15 Salvador
2-0 13-8 W
15/10 Rafael Tosetto
M15 Maringa · ~Clay
1-2 16-15 L
14/10 Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago
M15 Maringa · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
27/09 Pedro Sakamoto
Challenger Curitiba · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
24/09 Pedro Sakamoto
M15 Curitiba
0-2 2-12 L
23/09 Eric Von Marton Martins
M15 Curitiba
2-0 12-3 W
18/09 Nicolas Zanellato
M15 Belem
1-2 12-15 L
16/09 Ignacio Antonio Becerra Otarola
M15 Belem
2-0 12-5 W
12/09 Rafael Tosetto
M15 Leme
0-2 10-13 L
11/09 Ryan Dickerson
M15 Leme
2-1 9-8 W

Thomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/11 Kaue Noatto
M15 Salvador
2-1 15-14 W
02/11 Mateus Napoli da Silveira
M15 Salvador
2-0 12-3 W
12/10 Alberto Odiseo Alvarado Berrospi
M15 Quito · ~Clay
1-2 11-12 L
16/09 Pedro Sakamoto
M15 Belem
0-2 6-12 L
15/09 Guilherme Barbieri Renner
M15 Belem
2-1 12-9 W
01/09 Vito Antonio Darderi
M15 Trelew
1-2 16-17 L
31/08 Valentin Garay
M15 Trelew
2-1 10-7 W
03/08 Tomas Jordi Leston
M25 Londrina
0-2 4-12 L
13/07 Santiago Giamichelle
M15 Villa Constitucion
0-2 5-12 L
21/01 Lorenzo Bocchi
M25 Santiago
0-2 5-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Joao Goncalves vs Thomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli?

Our model gives 68% to Joao Goncalves, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.