Tennis · M15 Salvador · 04/11, 14:00

Prediction: Oscar Jose Gutierrez vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo

Team pages: Oscar Jose Gutierrez · Manuel Mouilleron Salvo

Prediction summary
Winner
73% 27%
Oscar Jose Gutierrez Manuel Mouilleron Salvo
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Oscar Jose Gutierrez 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWLWWWWL
Manuel Mouilleron Salvo 4-6 (W-L)
LWLLLWWLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oscar Jose Gutierrez 1591 · Manuel Mouilleron Salvo 1510
Oscar Jose GutierrezManuel Mouilleron Salvo
Our model61%39%
Market83%17%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oscar Jose Gutierrez (rating 1591 vs 1510).
  • Oscar Jose Gutierrez is in better form: 80% recent wins.

Statistics

Oscar Jose GutierrezManuel Mouilleron Salvo
Win %80%40%
Win % · Clay 50% (2) 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.6-0.50.9-1.2
Games (G-P)11.7-89.1-9.9
Aces2.60.7
Double faults32.2
1st serve %74.8%62.3%
Break %45.9%48.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oscar Jose Gutierrez

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/11 Tomas Martinez
M15 Joao Pessoa
2-1 18-12 W
31/10 Pedro Sakamoto
M15 Joao Pessoa
2-0 13-8 W
30/10 Fermin Tenti
M15 Joao Pessoa
2-0 12-2 W
29/10 Leonardo Storck Franca
M15 Joao Pessoa
2-0 13-9 W
27/10 Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto
M15 Joao Pessoa
2-0 13-8 W
23/10 Lorenzo Gagliardo
M15 Maceio
0-2 7-13 L
22/10 Rocco Valente
M15 Maceio
2-0 12-8 W
20/10 Denis Klok
M15 Maceio
2-0 12-3 W
16/10 Joao Eduardo Schiessl
M15 Maringa · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
15/10 Valentin Basel
M15 Maringa · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Manuel Mouilleron Salvo

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/10 Nicolas Hollender
M15 Quito · ~Clay
1-2 12-14 L
12/10 Juan Carlos Fuentes Vasquez
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
09/10 Victor Bini
M15 Quito · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
07/10 Mateo Del Pino
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
05/10 Martin Baquero
M15 Quito · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W
23/09 Mateus Alves
M15 Curitiba
0-2 3-12 L
16/09 Lucca Pinto
M15 Belem
0-2 8-13 L
01/09 Giovanni Branchetti
M15 Trelew
0-2 5-13 L
31/08 Agustin Libre
M15 Trelew
2-0 12-5 W
26/08 Carlos Maria Zarate
M15 Mar Del Plata
0-2 7-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oscar Jose Gutierrez vs Manuel Mouilleron Salvo?

Our model gives 73% to Oscar Jose Gutierrez, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.