Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 03/11, 02:30
Prediction: Mattias Southcombe vs Roman Sancilio
Team pages: Mattias Southcombe · Roman Sancilio
Prediction summary
Winner
Mattias Southcombe
Roman Sancilio
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Mattias Southcombe
3-7 (W-L)
Roman Sancilio
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mattias Southcombe 1432 · Roman Sancilio 1497
| Mattias Southcombe | Roman Sancilio | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Roman Sancilio (rating 1432 vs 1497).
- Note: Mattias Southcombe makes many double faults (6.7/match).
- Note: Roman Sancilio makes many double faults (7.7/match).
Statistics
| Mattias Southcombe | Roman Sancilio | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 17% (6) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.9-10.7 | 9.7-10.3 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 6.7 | 7.7 |
| 1st serve % | 66.7% | 65% |
| Break % | 41.7% | 42.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mattias Southcombe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Jaesung Choe M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Chen-Yu Lu M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 25/08 | Suk Ann M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Kyle Overmyer M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-7 | L |
| 27/07 | Daniel Borisov M15 Dublin |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Sean O Nuallain M15 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/04 | Leonardo Rossi M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Alexander Gschiel M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-11 | W |
| 22/04 | Jannik Opitz M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/04 | Omar Kandil M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-10 | W |
Roman Sancilio
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Chad Miller UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 31/07 | Henry Lessard UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Lathan Skrobarcek UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Arnav Bhandari UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/07 | Alex Fuchs UTR Pro Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Theo Herrmann M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Dev Javia M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Cagan Efe Tufekci M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 23/06 | Berke Muammer Okumus M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/06 | Fumin Jiang M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mattias Southcombe vs Roman Sancilio?
Our model gives 59% to Roman Sancilio, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.