Tennis · W15 Monastir · 31/10, 10:00
Prediction: Chenting Zhu vs Kayo Nishimura
Team pages: Chenting Zhu · Kayo Nishimura
Prediction summary
Winner
Chenting Zhu
Kayo Nishimura
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Chenting Zhu
4-6 (W-L)
Kayo Nishimura
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Chenting Zhu
1–0
Kayo Nishimura
(1 last)
- 16 Oct2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chenting Zhu 1539 · Kayo Nishimura 1622
| Chenting Zhu | Kayo Nishimura | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kayo Nishimura (rating 1539 vs 1622).
- Kayo Nishimura is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Chenting Zhu 1–0 Kayo Nishimura (1).
- Note: Chenting Zhu makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Chenting Zhu | Kayo Nishimura | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.8-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-10.5 | 12.3-8 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 0.9 |
| 1st serve % | 64.1% | 59.9% |
| Break % | 46% | 53.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Chenting Zhu 1 – 0 Kayo Nishimura (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chenting Zhu 1–0 Kayo Nishimura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10/26 W35 Monastir | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chenting Zhu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Anna Shkutova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 29/10 | Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/10 | Sofia Struvay W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/10 | Mariia Lazarenko W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 17/10 | Elena Milovanovic W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Kayo Nishimura W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/10 | Weronika Ewald W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 14/10 | Adelina Lachinova W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 07/10 | Ekaterina Tupitsyna W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 30/09 | Emerson Jones WTA Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Kayo Nishimura
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Cindy Langlais W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/10 | Sara Husar W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/10 | Anastasia Lizunova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/10 | Elena Milovanovic W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/10 | Marie Vogt W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/10 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 22/10 | Victoria Milovanova W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 21/10 | Sara Husar W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/10 | Chenting Zhu W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Victoria Milovanova W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chenting Zhu vs Kayo Nishimura?
Our model gives 53% to Kayo Nishimura, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.