Tennis · W15 Sharm El Sheikh · 31/10, 09:00
Prediction: Polina Kuharenko vs Rikke De Koning
Team pages: Polina Kuharenko · Rikke De Koning
Prediction summary
Winner
Polina Kuharenko
Rikke De Koning
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Polina Kuharenko
3-7 (W-L)
Rikke De Koning
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Polina Kuharenko
0–1
Rikke De Koning
(1 last)
- 29 Jun1-2 11-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Polina Kuharenko 1471 · Rikke De Koning 1609
| Polina Kuharenko | Rikke De Koning | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 69% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rikke De Koning (rating 1471 vs 1609).
- Rikke De Koning is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Polina Kuharenko 0–1 Rikke De Koning (1).
- Note: Polina Kuharenko makes many double faults (6.1/match).
Statistics
| Polina Kuharenko | Rikke De Koning | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (3) | 89% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 1.8-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-11.6 | 11.7-6.4 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 2 |
| Double faults | 6.1 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 59.3% | 67.3% |
| Break % | 47.6% | 49.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
H2H · Polina Kuharenko 0 – 1 Rikke De Koning (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Polina Kuharenko 0–1 Rikke De Koning
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06/26 W35 Amstelveen | 1-2 | 11-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Polina Kuharenko
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Zuzanna Kolonus W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-17 | W |
| 29/10 | Alisa Ziatdinova W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 28/10 | Alisa Vasileva W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/09 | Emily Appleton W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Yuliya Perapekhina W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Kateryna Diatlova W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 25/08 | Cherry Kim W15 Tianjin |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Loes Ebeling Koning W75 The Hague |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Aran Teixido Garcia W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Monika Wojcik W35 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Rikke De Koning
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Kaat Coppez W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/10 | Anja Wildgruber W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/10 | Sara Saad W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/10 | Malkia Ngounoue UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/10 | Maria Oliver Sanchez UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/10 | Nika Beukers UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/10 | Carlota Garcia Alonso UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/10 | Aliaksandra Skapets UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/10 | Mia Chudejova UTR Pro Carvoeiro Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/09 | Lian Tran W15 Haren |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Polina Kuharenko vs Rikke De Koning?
Our model gives 56% to Rikke De Koning, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.