Tennis · W15 Sharm El Sheikh · 10/11, 08:30
Prediction: Tzeng Mu-Jie vs Chrystal Lopez
Team pages: Tzeng Mu-Jie · Chrystal Lopez
Prediction summary
Winner
Tzeng Mu-Jie
Chrystal Lopez
Estimated games
19
Recent form · 10 last
Tzeng Mu-Jie
7-3 (W-L)
Chrystal Lopez
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tzeng Mu-Jie 1550 · Chrystal Lopez 1464
| Tzeng Mu-Jie | Chrystal Lopez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tzeng Mu-Jie (rating 1550 vs 1464).
- Tzeng Mu-Jie is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Chrystal Lopez makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Tzeng Mu-Jie | Chrystal Lopez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.6 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-5.4 | 9.8-10.6 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 0.1 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 60.3% | 56.7% |
| Break % | 58.6% | 64% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tzeng Mu-Jie
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11 | Yasmin Ezzat W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/11 | Samaira Pahwa W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/11 | Tamina Kochta W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 7-3 | W |
| 29/10 | Aya El Sayed W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Anastasia Mozgaleva W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 27/10 | Pippa Bosman W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Hikaru Sato W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Ye Eun Kim W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/01 | Mary Grace Rennard UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 03/01 | Madeline Wasserman UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Chrystal Lopez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11 | Polina Kuharenko W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 03/11 | Liliya Piskun W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/10 | Kaat Coppez W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Milena Ciocan W35 Reims |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 27/09 | Khiara Noel W35 Reims |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/08 | Galatea Ferro W15 Wanfercee-Baulet |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 17/06 | Tilwith Di Girolami W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Ksenia Smirnova W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 22/05 | Ilay Yoruk W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 19/05 | Albina Kakenova W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tzeng Mu-Jie vs Chrystal Lopez?
Our model gives 69% to Tzeng Mu-Jie, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.