Tennis · W100 New Braunfels · 30/10, 16:00
Prediction: Connie Ma vs Kristina Liutova
Team pages: Connie Ma · Kristina Liutova
Prediction summary
Winner
Connie Ma
Kristina Liutova
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Connie Ma
7-3 (W-L)
Kristina Liutova
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Connie Ma 1608 · Kristina Liutova 1594
| Connie Ma | Kristina Liutova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Connie Ma | Kristina Liutova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.4 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-6.6 | 11.8-8.3 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 61.7% | 66.4% |
| Break % | 62.5% | 57.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Connie Ma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Kylie Collins W100 New Braunfels |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/10 | Sonja Zhiyenbayeva W100 New Braunfels |
2-0 | 10-4 | W |
| 24/10 | Hanna Chang W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Astra Sharma W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/10 | Diletta Cherubini W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/10 | Annika Penickova W35 Redding |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/10 | Lea Ma W35 Redding |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 17/10 | Maria Sholokhova W35 Redding |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 15/10 | Jo Yee Chan W35 Redding |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/10 | Victoria Rodriguez W35 Redding |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Kristina Liutova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Arantxa Rus W100 New Braunfels |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/10 | Veronika Miroshnichenko W100 New Braunfels |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/10 | Sloane Stephens W100 Edmond |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Renata Zarazua W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/10 | Akasha Urhobo W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/10 | Malaika Rapolu W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/10 | Maria Lourdes Carle W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 31/08 | Qinwen Zheng US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 28/08 | Martyna Kubka US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/08 | Lola Radivojevic US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Connie Ma vs Kristina Liutova?
Our model gives 61% to Kristina Liutova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.