Tennis · W100 New Braunfels · 29/10, 18:00
Prediction: Sloane Stephens vs Astra Sharma
Team pages: Sloane Stephens · Astra Sharma
Prediction summary
Winner
Sloane Stephens
Astra Sharma
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Sloane Stephens
6-4 (W-L)
Astra Sharma
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sloane Stephens 1591 · Astra Sharma 1600
| Sloane Stephens | Astra Sharma | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Sloane Stephens | Astra Sharma | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.8-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-9.5 | 12-7.2 |
| Aces | 1 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 61.1% | 66.7% |
| Break % | 57.6% | 57.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sloane Stephens
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Rose Marie Nijkamp W100 New Braunfels |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/10 | Thea Frodin W50 Austin |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Ashley Lahey W50 Austin |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 18/10 | Kristina Liutova W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/10 | Julieta Pareja W100 Edmond |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 17/10 | Dana Guzman W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/10 | Madison Brengle W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/10 | Whitney Osuigwe W100 Edmond |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 18/09 | Peyton Stearns WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Janice Tjen WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Astra Sharma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Kristina Penickova W100 New Braunfels |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 27/10 | Olivia Lincer W100 New Braunfels |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/10 | Connie Ma W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Lea Ma W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 21/10 | Imogen Haddad W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/10 | Delaney Letzel W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/10 | Kaitlyn Carnicella W50 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/10 | Madison Brengle W50 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/10 | Bella Bergkvist Larsson W50 Lexington |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/10 | Cadence Brace W50 Lexington |
2-0 | 9-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sloane Stephens vs Astra Sharma?
Our model gives 57% to Sloane Stephens, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.