Tennis · W15 Monastir · 30/10, 10:00
Prediction: Marie Vogt vs Sofia Camila Rojas
Team pages: Marie Vogt · Sofia Camila Rojas
Prediction summary
Winner
Marie Vogt
Sofia Camila Rojas
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Marie Vogt
7-3 (W-L)
Sofia Camila Rojas
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Marie Vogt
1–0
Sofia Camila Rojas
(1 last)
- 23 Oct2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marie Vogt 1559 · Sofia Camila Rojas 1574
| Marie Vogt | Sofia Camila Rojas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Marie Vogt 1–0 Sofia Camila Rojas (1).
Statistics
| Marie Vogt | Sofia Camila Rojas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-9.3 | 11.1-8.6 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 65.1% | 62.7% |
| Break % | 49.6% | 56.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
H2H · Marie Vogt 1 – 0 Sofia Camila Rojas (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marie Vogt 1–0 Sofia Camila Rojas
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10/26 W35 Monastir | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marie Vogt
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Nahjime Dho W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/10 | Yui Watanabe W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/10 | Kayo Nishimura W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Sofia Camila Rojas W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/10 | Baotong Xu W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/10 | Polina Berezina W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 11/10 | Daria Yesypchuk WTA Mallorca · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Lidia Encheva W50 Burgas |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 22/09 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea WTA Ankara · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 21/09 | Ekaterina Yashina WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Sofia Camila Rojas
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Baotong Xu W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 28/10 | Abigeyle Bhopal W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/10 | Marie Vogt W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Adelina Lachinova W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/10 | Oriana Gniewkowska W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/10 | Vaishnavi Adkar W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Ada Kumru W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/10 | Chelsea Fontenel W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 13/10 | Nina Sozaonova W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Angela Fita Boluda W50 Yecla |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marie Vogt vs Sofia Camila Rojas?
Our model gives 52% to Marie Vogt, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

