Tennis · Challenger Sioux Falls · 30/10, 17:00
Prediction: Mees Rottgering vs Aidan Mayo
Team pages: Mees Rottgering · Aidan Mayo
Prediction summary
Winner
Mees Rottgering
Aidan Mayo
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Mees Rottgering
6-4 (W-L)
Aidan Mayo
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mees Rottgering 1544 · Aidan Mayo 1553
| Mees Rottgering | Aidan Mayo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Mees Rottgering makes many double faults (4.7/match).
- Note: Aidan Mayo makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Mees Rottgering | Aidan Mayo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.8 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-9.3 | 13.3-10.6 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 7.5 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 73.9% | 78.8% |
| Break % | 49.7% | 36.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mees Rottgering
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Kaylan Bigun Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/10 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/10 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/10 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 20/10 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/10 | Andy Andrade Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Braden Shick Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/09 | Edward Winter Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/09 | Nishesh Basavareddy Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Arthur Fery ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Aidan Mayo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 27/10 | Hynek Barton Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/10 | Sander Jong Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
1-2 | 18-14 | L |
| 22/10 | Kaylan Bigun Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 20/10 | Colton Smith Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 02/10 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/10 | Colton Smith Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Nikita Filin Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/09 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Jordan Lee Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mees Rottgering vs Aidan Mayo?
Our model gives 55% to Mees Rottgering, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.