Tennis · W35 Norman · 29/10, 18:00

Prediction: Jenna Defalco vs Ashley Lahey

Team pages: Jenna Defalco · Ashley Lahey

Prediction summary
Winner
52% 48%
Jenna Defalco Ashley Lahey
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Jenna Defalco 7-3 (W-L)
WLWLWWWWLW
Ashley Lahey 7-3 (W-L)
WWLLWWWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jenna Defalco 1540 · Ashley Lahey 1485
Jenna DefalcoAshley Lahey
Our model58%42%
Market46%54%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jenna Defalco (rating 1540 vs 1485).
  • Note: Jenna Defalco makes many double faults (4.7/match).

Statistics

Jenna DefalcoAshley Lahey
Win %60%40%
Win % · Hard 67% (6) –
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.91.2-1.2
Games (G-P)11.2-9.910.2-10.9
Aces1.72.4
Double faults4.73.3
1st serve %63.3%66.4%
Break %52%37.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jenna Defalco

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/10 Yuliya Hatouka
W35 Norman
2-0 12-4 W
25/10 Hanna Chang
W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
24/10 Lan Mi
W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard
2-1 14-8 W
24/10 Jana Hossam Salah
W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard
2-0 14-11 W
23/10 Sahaja Yamalapalli
W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard
2-0 14-12 W
20/10 Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
15/10 Annika Penickova
W35 Redding
1-2 13-18 L
13/10 Krisha Mahendran
W35 Redding
2-0 8-1 W
06/10 Janae Preston
W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
28/09 Ekaterina Maklakova
W100 Templeton
1-2 13-16 L

Ashley Lahey

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/10 Nada Fouad
W35 Norman
2-0 12-3 W
20/10 Sloane Stephens
W50 Austin
1-2 11-17 L
12/10 Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
W100 Edmond
1-2 14-18 L
03/10 Astra Sharma
W15 Nashville
1-2 8-14 L
01/10 Raquel Caballero Chica
W15 Nashville
2-0 12-5 W
29/09 Karla Bartel
W15 Nashville
2-0 12-5 W
22/09 Miriana Tona
W50 Yecla
0-2 5-12 L
21/09 Isis Louise Van den Broek
W50 Yecla
0-2 7-13 L
20/09 Defne Cirpanli
W50 Yecla
2-0 12-7 W
09/09 Merel Hoedt
W35 Reus · ~Clay
1-2 9-15 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jenna Defalco vs Ashley Lahey?

Our model gives 52% to Jenna Defalco, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.