Tennis · W35 Norman · 30/10, 18:00
Prediction: Ashley Lahey vs Rebecca Munk Mortensen
Team pages: Ashley Lahey · Rebecca Munk Mortensen
Prediction summary
Winner
Ashley Lahey
Rebecca Munk Mortensen
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ashley Lahey
6-4 (W-L)
Rebecca Munk Mortensen
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ashley Lahey 1512 · Rebecca Munk Mortensen 1567
| Ashley Lahey | Rebecca Munk Mortensen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rebecca Munk Mortensen (rating 1512 vs 1567).
- Note: Rebecca Munk Mortensen makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Ashley Lahey | Rebecca Munk Mortensen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-11 | 11.9-9.2 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 67.4% | 67.6% |
| Break % | 35.6% | 44.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ashley Lahey
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Jenna Defalco W35 Norman |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 27/10 | Nada Fouad W35 Norman |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/10 | Sloane Stephens W50 Austin |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 12/10 | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon W100 Edmond |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 03/10 | Astra Sharma W15 Nashville |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 01/10 | Raquel Caballero Chica W15 Nashville |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Karla Bartel W15 Nashville |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Miriana Tona W50 Yecla |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Isis Louise Van den Broek W50 Yecla |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/09 | Defne Cirpanli W50 Yecla |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Rebecca Munk Mortensen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Edda Mamedova W35 Norman |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/10 | Irina Balus W35 Norman |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 22/10 | Ella Mcdonald W50 Austin |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 21/10 | Amelie Van Impe W50 Austin |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 20/10 | Akasha Urhobo W50 Austin |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 19/10 | Yuliya Hatouka W50 Austin |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/10 | Diae El Jardi W50 Austin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/10 | Tian Jialin W35 Lagos |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Sofia Camila Rojas W50 Yecla |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 21/09 | Paula Cembranos W50 Yecla |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ashley Lahey vs Rebecca Munk Mortensen?
Our model gives 54% to Rebecca Munk Mortensen.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.