Tennis · W15 Sumter · 29/10, 15:00
Prediction: Malwina Rowinska vs Chiara Di Genova
Team pages: Malwina Rowinska · Chiara Di Genova
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Prediction summary
Winner
Malwina Rowinska
Chiara Di Genova
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Malwina Rowinska
6-4 (W-L)
Chiara Di Genova
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Malwina Rowinska 1584 · Chiara Di Genova 1504
| Malwina Rowinska | Chiara Di Genova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Malwina Rowinska (rating 1584 vs 1504).
- Note: Malwina Rowinska makes many double faults (6.3/match).
Statistics
| Malwina Rowinska | Chiara Di Genova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (6) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10 | 9.3-9.6 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 6.3 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 63.1% | 58% |
| Break % | 47.4% | 49.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Malwina Rowinska
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Anastasia Sysoeva W15 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 27/10 | Jane Dunyon W15 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/07 | Kolie Allen W35 Santa Fe |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Juliette Nask W35 Santa Fe |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/07 | Jennifer Jackson W35 Dallas |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 14/07 | Victoria Osuigwe W35 Dallas |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 14/06 | Brooklyn Olson UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/06 | Shravani Chennamsetty UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 11/06 | Victoria Osuigwe UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Susana Souhrada UTR Pro Boca Raton Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Chiara Di Genova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Marilouise Van Zyl W15 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/10 | Daria Koreshkova W15 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-1 | 8-6 | W |
| 02/10 | Ashton Bowers W15 Nashville |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Valeria Ray W15 Nashville |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/09 | Amelie Justine Hejtmanek W15 Nashville |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 29/09 | Trinetra Vijayakumar W15 Nashville |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 13/09 | Sarah Mildren UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Stefani Webb UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Julia Zhu UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/09 | Alice Soulie UTR Pro Knoxville Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Malwina Rowinska vs Chiara Di Genova?
Our model gives 53% to Malwina Rowinska, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.