Tennis · W15 Sumter · 27/10, 19:30

Prediction: Karla Bartel vs Raquel Gonzalez Vilar

Team pages: Karla Bartel · Raquel Gonzalez Vilar

Prediction summary
Winner
36% 64%
Karla Bartel Raquel Gonzalez Vilar
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Karla Bartel 2-8 (W-L)
LLWLWLLLLL
Raquel Gonzalez Vilar 6-4 (W-L)
WLWLWWWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Karla Bartel 1410 · Raquel Gonzalez Vilar 1557
Karla BartelRaquel Gonzalez Vilar
Our model30%70%
Market41%59%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Raquel Gonzalez Vilar (rating 1410 vs 1557).
  • Raquel Gonzalez Vilar is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Raquel Gonzalez Vilar makes many double faults (6.2/match).

Statistics

Karla BartelRaquel Gonzalez Vilar
Win %20%70%
Win % · Hard 0% (2) 83% (6)
Sets (G-P)0.4-1.71.4-0.8
Games (G-P)6.6-10.910.2-8.3
Aces2.22.3
Double faults3.46.2
1st serve %61%69.1%
Break %38.5%50.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Karla Bartel

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/09 Ashley Lahey
W15 Nashville
0-2 5-12 L
21/09 Janae Preston
W50 Berkeley
0-2 3-12 L
17/08 Georgina Groth
W35 Erwitte
0-2 8-12 L
10/08 Sophie Bekker
W35 Aldershot
0-2 9-13 L
09/08 Eva Shaw
W35 Aldershot
2-1 7-8 W
02/08 Anna Orlando Pellicero
W75 Ourense
1-2 10-15 L
21/07 Loes Ebeling Koning
W50 Horb
0-2 6-13 L
20/07 Georgina Groth
W50 Horb
1-0 6-0 W
15/07 Yuliya Perapekhina
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
10/07 Sofia Camila Rojas
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L

Raquel Gonzalez Vilar

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/09 Mayu Crossley
UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
06/09 Anna Perelman
UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard
2-1 16-12 W
05/09 Sofiia Nagornaia
UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
03/09 Zoe Hitt
UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
01/09 Sebastianna Scilipoti
UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
31/08 Daria Volosova
UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
06/07 Anastasia Kulikova
W50 Corroios-Seixal
0-2 1-12 L
05/07 Kika Lima
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-0 13-5 W
24/06 Viktoria Morvayova
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
22/06 Lucia Llinares Domingo
W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay
2-1 19-16 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Karla Bartel vs Raquel Gonzalez Vilar?

Our model gives 64% to Raquel Gonzalez Vilar, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.