Tennis · M25 Sheffield · 29/10, 13:00
Prediction: Matt Ponchet vs Martin Krumich
Team pages: Matt Ponchet · Martin Krumich
Prediction summary
Winner
Matt Ponchet
Martin Krumich
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Matt Ponchet
4-6 (W-L)
Martin Krumich
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matt Ponchet 1471 · Martin Krumich 1500
| Matt Ponchet | Martin Krumich | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 13% | 87% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Matt Ponchet | Martin Krumich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-11 | 9.9-8.8 |
| Aces | 7.6 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 76.6% | 74.4% |
| Break % | 31.4% | 49.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matt Ponchet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Paul Jubb M25 Sheffield |
1-1 | 12-13 | L |
| 27/10 | Stijn Pel M25 Sheffield |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/10 | Arthur Nagel M25 Sarreguemines |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/10 | Theo Herrmann M25 Sarreguemines |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 08/09 | Mickael Kaouk M25 Plaisir |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/08 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Marcus Walters Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 31/07 | Conor Gannon M15 Dublin |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Ammar Elamin M15 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Melvin Kumar M15 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Martin Krumich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Leonardo Rossi M25 Sheffield |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/10 | Patrick Brady M25 Sheffield |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/10 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/10 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Bari · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 01/10 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Dominik Recek M25 Pardubice |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Kacper Knitter Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Zdenek Kolar Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matt Ponchet vs Martin Krumich?
Our model gives 72% to Martin Krumich, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.