Tennis · M25 Sheffield · 28/10, 10:00
Prediction: Maximilian Marterer vs Johannus Monday
Team pages: Maximilian Marterer · Johannus Monday
Prediction summary
Winner
Maximilian Marterer
Johannus Monday
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Maximilian Marterer
6-4 (W-L)
Johannus Monday
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maximilian Marterer 1557 · Johannus Monday 1517
| Maximilian Marterer | Johannus Monday | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maximilian Marterer (rating 1557 vs 1517).
- Johannus Monday dominates on serve: 7.1 aces and 44.1% break avg.
Statistics
| Maximilian Marterer | Johannus Monday | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-8.6 | 12.7-11 |
| Aces | 5.1 | 7.1 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 74.6% | 73.7% |
| Break % | 37.7% | 44.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maximilian Marterer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Finn Murgett M25 Sheffield |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/10 | Arthur Nagel M25 Sarreguemines |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Thijs Boogaard M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/10 | Arthur Bouquier M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/10 | Tom Paris M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/09 | Pavel Lagutin Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Federico Arnaboldi Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/08 | Daniel Masur M25 Ueberlingen |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Louis Wessels M25 Ueberlingen |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 19/08 | Aaron Funk M25 Ueberlingen |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
Johannus Monday
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Loann Massard M25 Sheffield |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/08 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Lui Maxted Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 24/08 | Iliyan Radulov Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 17/08 | Iliyan Radulov Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 06/08 | Patrick Maloney M25 Southaven |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 05/08 | William Nolan M25 Southaven |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/08 | Ozan Baris M25 Edwardsville |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 31/07 | Andreja Petrovic M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Keaton Hance M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maximilian Marterer vs Johannus Monday?
Our model gives 51% to Johannus Monday, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.