Tennis · W15 Monastir · 29/10, 11:00
Prediction: Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals vs Chenting Zhu
Team pages: Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals · Chenting Zhu
Prediction summary
Winner
Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals
Chenting Zhu
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals
0-10 (W-L)
Chenting Zhu
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals 1391 · Chenting Zhu 1528
| Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals | Chenting Zhu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 69% |
| Market | 8% | 92% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chenting Zhu (rating 1391 vs 1528).
- Chenting Zhu is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Chenting Zhu makes many double faults (6.3/match).
Statistics
| Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals | Chenting Zhu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 10% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.3-1.9 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 5.6-12.6 | 11.9-10.6 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 6.3 |
| 1st serve % | 45.2% | 63.8% |
| Break % | 39.7% | 48.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Nuria Sarganella Verdu W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-11 | W |
| 19/10 | Isabel Pascual Montalvo W15 Villena · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Gabriela M Vancea W35 Baza |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/09 | Isis Louise Van den Broek W50 Yecla |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Kate Sharabura W15 Torello · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Zoziya Kardava W15 Logrono |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Denislava Glushkova W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Aya El Aouni W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Ustiniya Lekomtseva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Noemi Maines W15 Gran Canaria |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Chenting Zhu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Sofia Struvay W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/10 | Mariia Lazarenko W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 17/10 | Elena Milovanovic W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Kayo Nishimura W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/10 | Weronika Ewald W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 14/10 | Adelina Lachinova W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 07/10 | Ekaterina Tupitsyna W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 30/09 | Emerson Jones WTA Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Sara Saito WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/09 | Albina Kakenova W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals vs Chenting Zhu?
Our model gives 82% to Chenting Zhu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.