Tennis · M15 Fergana · 29/10, 07:00
Prediction: Edoardo Cherie Ligniere vs Jan Hrazdil
Team pages: Edoardo Cherie Ligniere · Jan Hrazdil
Prediction summary
Winner
Edoardo Cherie Ligniere
Jan Hrazdil
Estimated games
20.1Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Edoardo Cherie Ligniere
4-6 (W-L)
Jan Hrazdil
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Edoardo Cherie Ligniere 1504 · Jan Hrazdil 1448
| Edoardo Cherie Ligniere | Jan Hrazdil | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Edoardo Cherie Ligniere (rating 1504 vs 1448).
Statistics
| Edoardo Cherie Ligniere | Jan Hrazdil | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 0.6-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-10.4 | 8-10.1 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 61.8% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 48.1% | 39.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1 · Bet365 line 21.5 · -1.4
Over 21.5: 40% · 1.90
Under 21.5: 60% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Edoardo Cherie Ligniere
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Saveliy Ivanov M15 Fergana |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/09 | Michele Mecarelli M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Zura Tkemaladze M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-9 | W |
| 25/09 | Michele Mecarelli M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 24/09 | Matic Dimic M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 23/09 | Gabriele Bosio M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 06/09 | Federico Arnaboldi Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Dimitar Kuzmanov M25 Maribor |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Ivan Biletic M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Jan Hrazdil
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Danila Kvasov M15 Fergana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/10 | Arvid Nordquist M15 Szabolcsveresmart · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Anton Arzhankin M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Dzmitry Dziubailau M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Luca Castagnola M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 26/08 | Preston Brown M15 Pecs |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Michael Agwi M15 Krakow |
0-2 | 3-8 | L |
| 18/08 | Wiktor Jez M15 Krakow |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/08 | Linus Lagerbohm M15 Bielsko Biala |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Matteo Fondriest M15 Bielsko Biala |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Edoardo Cherie Ligniere vs Jan Hrazdil?
Our model gives 58% to Edoardo Cherie Ligniere, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.