Tennis · M15 Fergana · 05/11, 06:00
Prediction: Adrian Arcon vs Amir Omarkhanov
Team pages: Adrian Arcon · Amir Omarkhanov
Prediction summary
Winner
Adrian Arcon
Amir Omarkhanov
Estimated games
21Bet365 line 17.5
Recent form · 10 last
Adrian Arcon
3-7 (W-L)
Amir Omarkhanov
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adrian Arcon 1476 · Amir Omarkhanov 1489
| Adrian Arcon | Amir Omarkhanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 9% | 91% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Amir Omarkhanov makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Adrian Arcon | Amir Omarkhanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-12.1 | 9.4-9.3 |
| Aces | 5.6 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 65.9% | 70.1% |
| Break % | 41.2% | 37.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21 · Bet365 line 17.5 · +3.5
Over 17.5: 73% · 1.90
Under 17.5: 27% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adrian Arcon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Makhmudbek Beknazarov M15 Fergana |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 28/10 | Maksim Shin M15 Fergana |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 07/10 | Wihan Van Der Merwe M25 Darwin |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 06/10 | Luca Connaughton M25 Darwin |
1-2 | 9-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Zak Talic M25 Darwin |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Aleksandar Govedarica M25 Darwin |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/09 | Markus Malaszszak M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Chen Dong M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Yuki Ikeda M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-11 | W |
| 30/08 | Tachatam Srisen M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Amir Omarkhanov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11 | Roman Kharlamov M15 Fergana |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/10 | Aristarkh Safonov M15 Fergana |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 30/10 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere M15 Fergana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/10 | Kirill Filaretov M15 Fergana |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/10 | Rei Sakamoto ATP Almaty · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/10 | Etienne Donnet Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 28/08 | Nicolas Jadoun M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Bader Alabdullah M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-1 | W |
| 25/08 | Sean Grosman M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/08 | Beibit Zhukayev Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adrian Arcon vs Amir Omarkhanov?
Our model gives 73% to Amir Omarkhanov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.