Tennis · W35 Norman · 28/10, 17:30

Prediction: Gloriana Nahum vs Capucine Jauffret

Team pages: Gloriana Nahum · Capucine Jauffret

Prediction summary
Winner
65% 35%
Gloriana Nahum Capucine Jauffret
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Gloriana Nahum 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWLLWWWW
Capucine Jauffret 4-6 (W-L)
WWLWLLLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gloriana Nahum 1604 · Capucine Jauffret 1426
Gloriana NahumCapucine Jauffret
Our model74%26%
Market58%42%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gloriana Nahum (rating 1604 vs 1426).
  • Gloriana Nahum is in better form: 90% recent wins.
  • Note: Capucine Jauffret makes many double faults (5.5/match).

Statistics

Gloriana NahumCapucine Jauffret
Win %90%30%
Win % · Hard 100% (6) 0% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.8-0.30.8-1.5
Games (G-P)11.7-5.510-12
Aces2.21.2
Double faults1.65.5
1st serve %68.9%62%
Break %50.3%46.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gloriana Nahum

LWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/10 Mathilde Ngijol Carre
W35 Norman
2-0 12-3 W
15/08 Emira Diabate
Billie Jean King Cup · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
14/08 Mekedes Shumet
Billie Jean King Cup · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
13/08 Phuthi Mohau Leshoele
Billie Jean King Cup · Hard
2-0 12-1 W
07/08 Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
W35 Southaven
0-2 6-12 L
05/08 Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez
W35 Southaven
2-1 14-7 W
04/08 Sophie Williams
W35 Southaven
2-0 12-6 W
30/07 Mary Grace Rennard
UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
29/07 Natalie Outcalt
UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
28/07 Kesmat El Tawil
UTR Pro Auburn Women · Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Capucine Jauffret

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/08 Oksana Selekhmeteva
WTA Philadelphia · Hard
1-2 15-17 L
23/08 Ella Seidel
WTA Philadelphia · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
03/08 Anna Rogers
W100 Landisville
0-2 6-12 L
28/07 Yiming Dang
W35 Florence
0-2 3-12 L
22/07 Dana Guzman
W35 Santa Fe
0-2 8-12 L
08/07 Sakura Hosogi
W50 Columbus
0-2 9-13 L
07/07 Kira Matushkina
W50 Columbus
2-1 16-11 W
25/06 Ena Koike
W35 Rome
1-2 10-15 L
24/06 Anna Frey
W35 Rome
2-0 13-8 W
23/06 Sophie Llewellyn
W35 Rome
2-0 12-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gloriana Nahum vs Capucine Jauffret?

Our model gives 65% to Gloriana Nahum, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.