Tennis · Challenger Sioux Falls · 29/10, 16:00
Prediction: Sebastian Dominko vs Valentin Royer
Team pages: Sebastian Dominko · Valentin Royer
Prediction summary
Winner
Sebastian Dominko
Valentin Royer
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Sebastian Dominko
7-3 (W-L)
Valentin Royer
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sebastian Dominko 1572 · Valentin Royer 1490
| Sebastian Dominko | Valentin Royer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sebastian Dominko (rating 1572 vs 1490).
- Sebastian Dominko is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Sebastian Dominko | Valentin Royer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-9 | 12-12.9 |
| Aces | 9.9 | 6.4 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 80.8% | 70% |
| Break % | 37.8% | 30.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sebastian Dominko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Karl Poling Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/10 | Benjamin Willwerth Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/10 | Justin Boulais Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 11/10 | Daniel Masur Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Sebastian Gima M25 Slobozia |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Stepan Baum M25 Pardubice |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/09 | Jiri Cizek M25 Pardubice |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/09 | Rudolf Molleker M25 Pardubice |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/09 | Marko Bekeni M25 Pardubice |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/09 | Petr Michnev M25 Pardubice |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Valentin Royer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Timo Legout Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/10 | Clement Tabur ATP Lyon · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 14/10 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/10 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 08/10 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 26/09 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Adam Walton ATP Hangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/08 | Dalibor Svrcina US Open · Hard |
2-3 | 23-28 | L |
| 22/08 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sebastian Dominko vs Valentin Royer?
Our model gives 54% to Valentin Royer, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.