Tennis · Challenger Sioux Falls · 29/10, 16:00
Prediction: Mitchell Krueger vs Darwin Blanch
Team pages: Mitchell Krueger · Darwin Blanch
Prediction summary
Winner
Mitchell Krueger
Darwin Blanch
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Mitchell Krueger
6-4 (W-L)
Darwin Blanch
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mitchell Krueger
1–1
Darwin Blanch
(2 last)
- 12 Nov0-2 9-13L
- 09 Nov2-1 18-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mitchell Krueger 1500 · Darwin Blanch 1595
| Mitchell Krueger | Darwin Blanch | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Darwin Blanch (rating 1500 vs 1595).
- Darwin Blanch dominates on serve: 8.3 aces and 40.7% break avg.
Statistics
| Mitchell Krueger | Darwin Blanch | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-11.7 | 11.3-9.6 |
| Aces | 4 | 8.3 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 67.4% | 79% |
| Break % | 33.3% | 40.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
H2H · Mitchell Krueger 1 – 1 Darwin Blanch (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mitchell Krueger 1–1 Darwin Blanch
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/25 Challenger Champaign | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/11/25 Challenger Knoxville | 2-1 | 18-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mitchell Krueger
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Andy Andrade Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/10 | Jenson Brooksby Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 14/10 | Shunsuke Mitsui M25 Austin |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 03/10 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Keegan Smith Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/10 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 28/09 | Tyler Zink Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/09 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 18/09 | Michael Zheng Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/09 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
Darwin Blanch
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/10 | Jenson Brooksby Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/10 | Sander Jong Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/10 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/10 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/10 | Albert Pedrico Kravtsov Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/10 | Dylan Dietrich Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 29/09 | Patrick Maloney Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/09 | Andy Andrade Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mitchell Krueger vs Darwin Blanch?
Our model gives 72% to Darwin Blanch, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.