Tennis · W100 New Braunfels · 29/10, 17:00
Prediction: Kylie Collins vs Connie Ma
Team pages: Kylie Collins · Connie Ma
Prediction summary
Winner
Kylie Collins
Connie Ma
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Kylie Collins
4-6 (W-L)
Connie Ma
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kylie Collins 1522 · Connie Ma 1604
| Kylie Collins | Connie Ma | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Connie Ma (rating 1522 vs 1604).
- Connie Ma is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Kylie Collins makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Kylie Collins | Connie Ma | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-8.5 | 11.3-7.4 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 61.5% | 62.4% |
| Break % | 49.6% | 61.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kylie Collins
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Yeon Woo Ku W100 New Braunfels |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 21/10 | Yeon Woo Ku W50 Austin |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Anastasia Abbagnato W50 Austin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/10 | Hina Inoue W50 Lexington |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Francisca Jorge W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Ivana Sebestova W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/09 | Valentina Steiner WTA Porto · Hard |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 20/09 | Jessica Hinojosa Gomez WTA Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/09 | Mia Pohankova WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/09 | Ariana Arseneault WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
Connie Ma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Sonja Zhiyenbayeva W100 New Braunfels |
2-0 | 10-4 | W |
| 24/10 | Hanna Chang W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Astra Sharma W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/10 | Diletta Cherubini W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/10 | Annika Penickova W35 Redding |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/10 | Lea Ma W35 Redding |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 17/10 | Maria Sholokhova W35 Redding |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 15/10 | Jo Yee Chan W35 Redding |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/10 | Victoria Rodriguez W35 Redding |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/09 | Janae Preston W50 Berkeley |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kylie Collins vs Connie Ma?
Our model gives 66% to Connie Ma, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.