Tennis · Challenger Sioux Falls · 29/10, 17:00
Prediction: Aidan Mayo vs Maks Kasnikowski
Team pages: Aidan Mayo · Maks Kasnikowski
Prediction summary
Winner
Aidan Mayo
Maks Kasnikowski
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Aidan Mayo
6-4 (W-L)
Maks Kasnikowski
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aidan Mayo 1536 · Maks Kasnikowski 1544
| Aidan Mayo | Maks Kasnikowski | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Aidan Mayo makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Aidan Mayo | Maks Kasnikowski | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-10.5 | 10.2-8.7 |
| Aces | 7.2 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 0.6 |
| 1st serve % | 77.7% | 77.5% |
| Break % | 33.4% | 28.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aidan Mayo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Hynek Barton Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/10 | Sander Jong Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
1-2 | 18-14 | L |
| 22/10 | Kaylan Bigun Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 20/10 | Colton Smith Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 02/10 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/10 | Colton Smith Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Nikita Filin Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/09 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Jordan Lee Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/09 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
Maks Kasnikowski
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | James Trotter Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 17/10 | Damir Dzumhur Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 16/10 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/10 | Andrea Guerrieri Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/10 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/10 | Philip Henning Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/09 | Alex De Minaur Davis Cup |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Jay Friend Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 09/09 | Christian Langmo Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aidan Mayo vs Maks Kasnikowski?
Our model gives 56% to Maks Kasnikowski, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.