Tennis · W100 New Braunfels · 28/10, 16:00
Prediction: Yuki Naito vs Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
Team pages: Yuki Naito · Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
Prediction summary
Winner
Yuki Naito
Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Yuki Naito
5-5 (W-L)
Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yuki Naito 1552 · Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon 1495
| Yuki Naito | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yuki Naito (rating 1552 vs 1495).
- Note: Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Yuki Naito | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-9.4 | 9.6-10.6 |
| Aces | 2 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 64.2% | 60.7% |
| Break % | 54.6% | 55.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yuki Naito
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Reese Brantmeier W75 Saguenay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 24/10 | Ariana Arseneault W75 Saguenay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/10 | Ayana Akli W75 Saguenay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/10 | Clemence Mercier W75 Saguenay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/10 | Annabelle Xu W75 Saguenay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/10 | Mimi Xu W50 Quebec City |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/10 | Kallista Liu W50 Quebec City |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/10 | Valentina Ryser W50 Quebec City |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 07/10 | Alexis Nguyen W50 Lexington |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Ayla Aksu WTA Ankara · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Valeriia Krokhotina W100 New Braunfels |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 26/10 | Chloe Henderson W100 New Braunfels |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 20/10 | Jenna Defalco W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Sofia Johnson W100 Edmond |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 12/10 | Ashley Lahey W100 Edmond |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 07/10 | Emma Kamper W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 28/09 | Carolina Kuhl W100 Templeton |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Madison Brengle W50 Berkeley |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Ashley Lahey W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Carlota Corte W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yuki Naito vs Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon?
Our model gives 65% to Yuki Naito, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.