Tennis · W100 New Braunfels · 28/10, 19:00
Prediction: Julieta Pareja vs Diae El Jardi
Team pages: Julieta Pareja · Diae El Jardi
Prediction summary
Winner
Julieta Pareja
Diae El Jardi
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Julieta Pareja
6-4 (W-L)
Diae El Jardi
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Julieta Pareja 1561 · Diae El Jardi 1480
| Julieta Pareja | Diae El Jardi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 94% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Julieta Pareja (rating 1561 vs 1480).
- Julieta Pareja is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Diae El Jardi makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Julieta Pareja | Diae El Jardi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-10.3 | 9.6-10.9 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 7.4 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 5.5 |
| 1st serve % | 62.1% | 69.1% |
| Break % | 43.8% | 31.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Julieta Pareja
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Sloane Stephens W100 Edmond |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 17/10 | Kristina Penickova W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 16/10 | Varvara Lepchenko W100 Edmond |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 15/10 | Elizabeth Mandlik W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/10 | Madison Brengle W100 Templeton |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 02/10 | Caroline Dolehide W100 Templeton |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 01/10 | Mary Stoiana W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 29/09 | Thea Frodin W100 Templeton |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 09/09 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 08/09 | Lizette Cabrera WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Diae El Jardi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Alana Smith W100 New Braunfels |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 26/10 | Natalie Kha W100 New Braunfels |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/10 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W50 Austin |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Julia Adams W100 Edmond |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Jensen Diianni W50 Lexington |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Charo Esquiva Banuls W15 Logrono |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Miroslava Medvedeva W15 Logrono |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Celine Simunyu W75 Lexington |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 27/07 | Briley Rhoden W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/07 | Hina Inoue W35 Santa Fe |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Julieta Pareja vs Diae El Jardi?
Our model gives 79% to Julieta Pareja, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.