Tennis · W100 New Braunfels · 28/10, 16:00
Prediction: Kristina Penickova vs Astra Sharma
Team pages: Kristina Penickova · Astra Sharma
Prediction summary
Winner
Kristina Penickova
Astra Sharma
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Kristina Penickova
6-4 (W-L)
Astra Sharma
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kristina Penickova 1525 · Astra Sharma 1578
| Kristina Penickova | Astra Sharma | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Astra Sharma (rating 1525 vs 1578).
- Astra Sharma is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Kristina Penickova makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Kristina Penickova | Astra Sharma | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.8-0.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-9.7 | 11.7-6.3 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 5.9 | 0.8 |
| 1st serve % | 62.6% | 68.4% |
| Break % | 56.8% | 57.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kristina Penickova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Julieta Pareja W100 Edmond |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Elvina Kalieva W100 Edmond |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 13/10 | Martina Capurro Taborda W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/10 | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Alina Shcherbinina W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/10 | Ella Mcdonald W100 Templeton |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Carolina Kuhl W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Iryna Shymanovich W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Harriet Dart US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 25/08 | Elizabeth Mandlik US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Astra Sharma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Olivia Lincer W100 New Braunfels |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/10 | Connie Ma W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Lea Ma W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 21/10 | Imogen Haddad W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 20/10 | Delaney Letzel W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/10 | Kaitlyn Carnicella W50 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/10 | Madison Brengle W50 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/10 | Bella Bergkvist Larsson W50 Lexington |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/10 | Cadence Brace W50 Lexington |
2-0 | 9-2 | W |
| 07/10 | Madison Sieg W50 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kristina Penickova vs Astra Sharma?
Our model gives 64% to Astra Sharma, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.