Tennis · W100 New Braunfels · 28/10, 17:30
Prediction: Renata Zarazua vs Lexington Reed
Team pages: Renata Zarazua · Lexington Reed
Prediction summary
Winner
Renata Zarazua
Lexington Reed
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Renata Zarazua
7-3 (W-L)
Lexington Reed
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Renata Zarazua 1529 · Lexington Reed 1540
| Renata Zarazua | Lexington Reed | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Renata Zarazua | Lexington Reed | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-8.6 | 12.3-11.6 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 2 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 58.8% | 62.5% |
| Break % | 55.5% | 52.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Renata Zarazua
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Kristina Liutova W100 Edmond |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/10 | Yeon Woo Ku W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/10 | Thea Frodin W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/10 | Sofia Johnson W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/10 | Rebecca Sramkova WTA Suzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/10 | Katarina Zavatska WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 06/10 | Han Shi WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/10 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Anna Bondar WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/09 | Anna Bondar WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
Lexington Reed
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Deniz Dilek W100 New Braunfels |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/10 | Divna Ratkovic W100 New Braunfels |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/10 | Mayu Crossley W50 Austin |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 18/10 | Carmen Andreea Herea W50 Austin |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 14/10 | Arina Bulatova W35 Redding |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 08/10 | Edda Mamedova W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Katrina Scott W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-7 | W |
| 06/10 | Amelie Van Impe W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/07 | Fiona Crawley W75 Lexington |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 29/07 | Kayo Nishimura W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Renata Zarazua vs Lexington Reed?
Our model gives 71% to Renata Zarazua, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.