Tennis · M25 Sheffield · 28/10, 11:00

Prediction: Leonardo Rossi vs Martin Krumich

Team pages: Leonardo Rossi · Martin Krumich

Prediction summary
Winner
43% 57%
Leonardo Rossi Martin Krumich
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Leonardo Rossi 5-5 (W-L)
WLLWLLWWLW
Martin Krumich 5-5 (W-L)
LLWLLWWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Leonardo Rossi 1547 · Martin Krumich 1501
Leonardo RossiMartin Krumich
Our model57%43%
Market31%69%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leonardo Rossi (rating 1547 vs 1501).

Statistics

Leonardo RossiMartin Krumich
Win %60%50%
Win % · Clay – 50% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.21.1-1.1
Games (G-P)13.3-12.610.2-9.6
Aces5.23.3
Double faults1.73
1st serve %73.1%74.3%
Break %32.7%48.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Leonardo Rossi

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/10 Marcus Walters
M25 Sheffield
2-1 19-19 W
16/10 Mika Petkovic
M15 Offenbach
0-2 8-13 L
15/10 Guillaume Dalmasso
M15 Offenbach
2-0 12-4 W
14/10 Michael Agwi
M15 Offenbach
2-1 19-13 W
13/10 Arian Barbic
M15 Offenbach
2-1 18-13 W
28/09 Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
27/09 Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard
2-0 14-10 W
20/09 Daniel Masur
Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard
1-2 12-15 L
18/09 Aidan Mchugh
M25 Nevers
0-2 6-12 L
17/09 Mathys Domenc
M25 Nevers
2-1 16-14 W

Martin Krumich

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/10 Patrick Brady
M25 Sheffield
2-0 12-6 W
07/10 Jonas Forejtek
Challenger Palermo · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
06/10 Samuele Pieri
Challenger Palermo · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
02/10 Matthew William Donald
Challenger Bari · Clay
1-2 10-16 L
01/10 Pierluigi Basile
Challenger Bari · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
23/09 Dominik Recek
M25 Pardubice
0-2 9-13 L
16/09 Tom Gentzsch
Challenger Szczecin · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
14/09 Kacper Knitter
Challenger Szczecin · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
09/09 Zdenek Kolar
Challenger Tulln · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
07/09 Sebastian Sorger
Challenger Tulln · Clay
2-1 15-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Leonardo Rossi vs Martin Krumich?

Our model gives 57% to Martin Krumich, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.