Tennis · M25 Sheffield · 28/10, 10:00
Prediction: James Beaven vs Mika Petkovic
Team pages: James Beaven · Mika Petkovic
Prediction summary
Winner
James Beaven
Mika Petkovic
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
James Beaven
7-3 (W-L)
Mika Petkovic
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · James Beaven 1518 · Mika Petkovic 1586
| James Beaven | Mika Petkovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 13% | 87% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mika Petkovic (rating 1518 vs 1586).
- Mika Petkovic is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| James Beaven | Mika Petkovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-8.8 | 12.9-9.2 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 4 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 73.5% | 72.9% |
| Break % | 36.3% | 60.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
James Beaven
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Rhys Lawlor M25 Sheffield |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/10 | Mateja Stanisavljevic M25 Sheffield |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/10 | Younes Jenkins M25 Sheffield |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/10 | Antoine Walch M25 Sarreguemines |
1-2 | 11-8 | L |
| 13/10 | Tim Handel M15 Offenbach |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/10 | Xavi Matas Ortega M15 Offenbach |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/10 | Paulo Knippling M15 Offenbach |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 02/08 | Vincent Fletcher M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Giulio Perego M25 Aldershot |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 15/07 | Giulio Perego M25 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Mika Petkovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Mark Ceban M25 Sheffield |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 22/10 | Oliver Tarvet M25 Redbridge |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 21/10 | Billy Blaydes M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/10 | Jelle Sels M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/10 | Calvin Mueller M15 Offenbach |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 16/10 | Leonardo Rossi M15 Offenbach |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/10 | David Eichenseher M15 Offenbach |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/10 | Julien Penzlin M15 Offenbach |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 12/10 | Jakub Kusy M15 Offenbach |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/09 | Vitaliy Sachko Challenger Bari · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in James Beaven vs Mika Petkovic?
Our model gives 74% to Mika Petkovic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.