Tennis · M25 Sheffield · 28/10, 10:00
Prediction: Oliver Tarvet vs Vladislav Melnic
Team pages: Oliver Tarvet · Vladislav Melnic
Prediction summary
Winner
Oliver Tarvet
Vladislav Melnic
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Oliver Tarvet
8-2 (W-L)
Vladislav Melnic
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oliver Tarvet 1588 · Vladislav Melnic 1457
| Oliver Tarvet | Vladislav Melnic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 95% | 5% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oliver Tarvet (rating 1588 vs 1457).
- Oliver Tarvet dominates on serve: 6.5 aces and 46.8% break avg.
- Oliver Tarvet is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Oliver Tarvet | Vladislav Melnic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.4 | 0.6-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-8.1 | 8-10.7 |
| Aces | 6.5 | 3 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 78.6% | 61% |
| Break % | 46.8% | 41.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oliver Tarvet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Conor Gannon M25 Sheffield |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/10 | Paul Jubb M25 Redbridge |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 23/10 | Finn Murgett M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 22/10 | Mika Petkovic M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 21/10 | Jake Evans M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/10 | Pietro Orlando Fellin M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/10 | Laslo Djere Challenger Villena · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Francesco Maestrelli Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 05/10 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/10 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Villena · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Vladislav Melnic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Dylan Leeman M25 Sheffield |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/10 | Ivan Dorokhov M25 Sheffield |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/10 | Viktor Durasovic M25 Redbridge |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Kacper Knitter M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Radu Mihai Papoe M25 Slobozia |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Luca Stefan Prunescu Nita M25 Slobozia |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/09 | Matias Ponce de Leon Gomila M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Denis Klok M25 Zlatibor |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Kirill Kivattsev M15 Budapest |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Matei Florin Breazu M15 Buzau |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oliver Tarvet vs Vladislav Melnic?
Our model gives 83% to Oliver Tarvet, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.