Tennis · M25 Sheffield · 28/10, 10:00
Prediction: Mae Malige vs Roan Jones
Team pages: Mae Malige · Roan Jones
Prediction summary
Winner
Mae Malige
Roan Jones
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Mae Malige
3-7 (W-L)
Roan Jones
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mae Malige
0–1
Roan Jones
(1 last)
- 27 Aug0-2 10-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mae Malige 1462 · Roan Jones 1550
| Mae Malige | Roan Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Roan Jones (rating 1462 vs 1550).
- Head-to-head: Mae Malige 0–1 Roan Jones (1).
- Note: Mae Malige makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Mae Malige | Roan Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1.2-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-13.1 | 10-8.1 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 61.5% | 73.6% |
| Break % | 47.9% | 52.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Mae Malige 0 – 1 Roan Jones (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mae Malige 0–1 Roan Jones
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08/26 M15 Monastir | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mae Malige
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Henry Searle M25 Sheffield |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 22/10 | Adrien Gobat M25 Sarreguemines |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 20/10 | Guillaume Dalmasso M25 Sarreguemines |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 08/10 | Loann Massard M15 Rodez |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M15 Rodez |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 29/09 | Melih Anavatan M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 24/09 | Ewen Lumsden M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 23/09 | Jacopo Bilardo M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Alexandre Reco M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
Roan Jones
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | William Nolan M25 Sheffield |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/10 | Paul Jubb M25 Redbridge |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/10 | Jared Horwood M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/10 | Guillaume Dalmasso M15 Rodez |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 11/09 | Cesar Bouchelaghem M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Carel Aubriel Ngounoue M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/09 | Nicolas Jadoun M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/09 | Cesar Bouchelaghem M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Hazem Naw M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-2 | W |
| 02/09 | Theo Herrmann M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mae Malige vs Roan Jones?
Our model gives 55% to Roan Jones, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.