Tennis · WTA Courmayeur · 28/10, 20:30
Prediction: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Ayla Aksu
Team pages: Lucrezia Stefanini · Ayla Aksu
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucrezia Stefanini
Ayla Aksu
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Lucrezia Stefanini
6-4 (W-L)
Ayla Aksu
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lucrezia Stefanini
2–1
Ayla Aksu
(3 last)
- 11 Oct1-2 13-15L
- 24 Aug2-0 12-5W
- 30 Aug2-0 13-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucrezia Stefanini 1587 · Ayla Aksu 1571
| Lucrezia Stefanini | Ayla Aksu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Lucrezia Stefanini 2–1 Ayla Aksu (3).
Statistics
| Lucrezia Stefanini | Ayla Aksu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-9.1 | 11.8-10.6 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 57.7% | 60.5% |
| Break % | 50.3% | 46.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Lucrezia Stefanini 2 – 1 Ayla Aksu (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lucrezia Stefanini 2–1 Ayla Aksu
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10/26 WTA Samsun | 1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 24/08/26 US Open Women | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/08/23 ITF W60 Collonge-Bellerive | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucrezia Stefanini
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Isabella Maria Serban WTA Courmayeur · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/10 | Bianca Andreescu WTA Rovereto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Harmony Tan WTA Rovereto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Laura Mair WTA Rovereto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 11/10 | Ayla Aksu WTA Samsun · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 10/10 | Anna Blinkova WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/10 | Polina Iatcenko WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/10 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/10 | Carole Monnet WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/10 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Adana · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
Ayla Aksu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Lisa Zaar WTA Courmayeur · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/10 | Dalayna Hewitt W100 Wrexham |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/10 | Lucrezia Stefanini WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 10/10 | Himeno Sakatsume WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/10 | Fiona Crawley WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 08/10 | Alicia Dudeney WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 06/10 | Emiliana Arango WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Elena Pridankina WTA Adana · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Han Shi WTA Ankara · Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 21/09 | Yuki Naito WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucrezia Stefanini vs Ayla Aksu?
Our model gives 60% to Lucrezia Stefanini, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.